In the News: Gambling on Betting Systems and the Super Bowl
The odds in all forms of gambling remain static and fixed, but people will employ any number of superstitions or betting systems in an attempt to defy these odds. As an example, the gambler's fallacy is the mistaken belief that, if something happens ...
Split the Top plays last week 1-1 (so 4-1 now since week 4; when I said to start betting). The Seahawks cashed by a mile like all 3 top plays before it, but Philly seems like it was called wrong. Looking back, maybe it should have been a runner up as it was 90% a technical play. With the Seahawks, we had the added angle ...
2-4 ATS in Week 1. Read the previous email (NCAAF Week 3). Here's what I said last week verbatim:
"Let me say the same thing I said in NCAAF Week 1 and 2: Don't go heavy yet..." Week 3-4 is usually when we start building momentum. Anyways...you know the drill.
Week 2 is an overreaction week usually. The public won ...
NHL RAW NUMBERS
Three team parlay: WINNER!
#011 Anaheim ML
#007 Boston ML
#013-14 UNDER 5.5
(0.22 units to win 1 unit)
Raw numbers + Systems on all of these.
In database history, conference teams between .450 and .570 are 258-175 +80.77 units in March off of a 1-2 game winning streak vs. a decent plus .400 ...
Alabama is 14-2 (+19.06, 87.5%) SU under head coach Nick Saban at home after four or more straight wins. That is quite an impressive record; however, we're more interested in the following stat: Under head coach Nick Saban, the Crimson Tide are 14-0-1 (-8.70 ppg) UNDER the Vegas total in the same situation.
The average ...
The New England Patriots are 19-3-0 (+11.59 ppg, 86.4%) SU 15-6-1 (+8.3 ppg, 71.4%) ATS under head coach Bill Belichick on the road after allowing 76 or fewer rushing yards.
This week, they'll square off against the Cincinnati Bengals on the road for +1 point with a Vegas Total set at 45.0.
Check out the Raw Numbers ...
The Atlanta Falcons are 21-3-0 (+11.21 ppg, 87.5%) SU and 18-5 ATS since 2008 after a loss Under Head Coach Mike Smith.
That's 12-1 (92.3%) SU if the last loss was to a division rival. This week, the Falcons will take on the Rams at home for -6.5 points and a vegas total set at 47.5.