NFL WEEK 17 SELECTIONS: 4-1 ATS
| Game | Result | Status | Pick | Amount |
| Washington | Lost | 1:00 PM ET | Washington +3.5 | 1.80 |
| N.Y. Giants | – | |||
| N.Y. Jets | WINNER! | 1:00 PM ET | N.Y. Jets +5.5 | 1.50 |
| Miami | – | |||
| Buffalo | WINNER! | 4:25 PM ET | New England -8 | 1.80 |
| New England | – | |||
| Denver | WINNER! | 4:25 PM ET | Denver -11 | 1.80 |
| Oakland | – | |||
| Kansas City | WINNER! | 4:25 PM ET | Kansas City +10 | 1.00 |
| San Diego | – |
No top play for this odd ball week. I’m never sure who or what I can trust in the final week, but I’ve got five good ideas here…
KEY SYSTEM: Since 1989, five pt. dogs to favorites (< +5.5) are 221-139-11 (61.4%) ATS in the last couple weeks of regular season when facing opponents with a greater team win percent….
This week that gives us:
-GREEN BAY (Passing)
-ARIZONA (Passing)
-CHARGERS (Taking the raw numbers here small; go Chiefs…)
-WASH (Take them)
-VIKINGS (Passing, but feel like I should play this one…doesn’t agree with raw numbers)
This is a massively powerful system. I would consider playing them all…I will personally be sticking to my guns and playing the best raw number games as well as the smaller leans that are in consensus with this system that we like.
SYSTEM: Since 1991, three points plus road dogs off of seven or more straight losses are 47-19-2 ATS (71.2%).
The Skins and the Texans fit that bill. Only Washington follows the raw numbers though.
In Oakland:
***Since 2005, Oakland is just 6-16-0 ATS and 3-19 (13.6%) SU at home in a revenge matchup that was a blowout (28+ pt.) loss.
(Take Denver)
In New England:
***BILL BELICHICK is 23-4-0 SU (85.2%) and 21-6-0 ATS (77.8%) with the New England Patriots in the final two weeks of regular season!
***BILL BELICHICK is 52-6-0 (89.7%) SU and 32-25-1 ATS as the head coach of the Patriots facing sub .400 teams post week 3!!
Reference (By Occurrence)….
Key NFL Margins of Victory: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 1, 2, 17, 13, 8, 5
Key totals: 41, 37, 44, 51, 43, 33, 40, 47, 30, 48, 27, 45, 55, 23, 34, 38, 31
Key totals: 41, 37, 44, 51, 43, 33, 40, 47, 30, 48, 27, 45, 55, 23, 34, 38, 31