NFL Week #3
Record: $2,091.00 (9/22/10) from $2,000.00 (8/26/10)
20-17-0 52.6% +4.55 units
Week #3 Plays:
I have some monster plays here. The lines are moving so I want to get them in now.
Remember what I said about a good capper beating the lines?
You’ll thank me later in the week on some of these…hopefully.
Cincinnati Bengals -3 -110 against the Panthers
(Take the BENGALS -3 for $33 – 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
Baltimore Ravens -10 -110 against the Browns
(Take the RAVENS -10 for $154 – 7 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-Straight up emotion here with the Ravens. I am projecting a 27-14 win for the black birds at home.
Tennessee Titans +3 +100 against the Giants
(Take the TITANS +3 for $20 – 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-Projecting 29-24 for this away dog.
Atlanta Falcons +4.5 -110 against the Saints
(Take the FALCONS +4.5 for $22 – 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-Will the Saints ever be dogs this season? I love them, but there is always going to be a little bit of value betting the dog spread against them. I won’t always do this, but in this case I see an incredibly strong team knocking on their door this weekend. I am projecting a 23-20 win for the Falcons. You may actually consider a small wager on the money line for beer money.
**TOP RATED PLAY** (So far 2-0 on these [Giants week1 and Green Bay week2])
New England Patriots -14 +105 against the Browns
(Take the PATRIOTS -14 for $190 – 10 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-The numbers are projecting a 27-13 victory here which isn’t a lot for this big spread, but there are so many positive factors working here for the Patriots to just demolish the lowly visiting Bills. This line is rolling as we speak. The public is on this which isn’t ever good for us, but I think the public is right here (not that I ever want to follow them). Notice how the linesmen and books prepared by creating an insanely expensive money-line… The Bills show signs of being the worst team in the league, and very few are going to find any value in taking the Bills here except in a middle attempt. This game just reeks of a slaughter though so I wouldn’t even bother middling. This game is the main reason why I am up at 4:00 AM getting these plays out to you quickly. I can see these line rolling past 14 and just not coming back. I’d get it while it’s hot!
Seattle Seahawks +6 -105 against the Chargers
(Take the SEAHAWKS +6 for $105 – 5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-I am projecting a 24-22 win for the Seahawks here at home. I haven’t been all that impressed with the Chargers personally. They had an easy win last week, and are going to walk right into a trap here in Seattle. People really underestimate the 49’ers and I saw these guys take an easy win straight out of their hands. ***This play you could probably wait on until closer to game-time. I honestly don’t see people getting on any Seahawks bandwagon. I suggest taking your time on this one…it is possible that it may roll to 7 which would be a great spot to be in here.
Dallas Cowboys +3 -115 against the Texans
(Take the COWBOYS +3 for $34.50 – 1.5 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-I am projecting a 34-17 win for Boys here. There is a lot of pressure for Dallas to get a kick off in the season now, and home and away probably won’t be an issue this time with a lot of folks cheering on the Boys in Houston. The Texans want to keep the drive alive, but if they are going to collapse I think it will be today. Take the points.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 -115 against the Eagles
(Take the JAGUARS -10 for $23 – 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-I am projecting a 27-22 win for JAX.
Miami Dolphins -1 -120 against the Jets
(Take the DOLPHINS -1 for $24 – 1 UNIT bet based on $20 units)
-I pick the Dolphins here for a smaller bet to keep their hot run alive at home in Miami against a shaky (yet tough) Jets team. I am projecting only a 16-18 game here for the FINS, but I think that they’ll surprise a lot of people here. Take a point on the Fins.