NHL Playoff Top Play Write-Up
Raw numbers for the next two days uploaded; however, I am passing on the top lean.
We come close to taking LA and San Jose Under, but I would personally like to pass as around 95% of the public bets want the under as well and it is lined 4.5
*The OVER is 17-8 in playoff games where the total is 4.5
I do however see value on one side of this matchup on the -1 puckline: San Jose.
Thursday, April 17
|Los Angeles||3||10:30 PM ET||San Jose -1 +148||2.00|
|San Jose||6||(Top Play)|
Over 90% of the puckline bets are taking LA +1.5 here. People tend to believe that a lower scoring game correlates very well with a dog covering when history shows little to no value in this theory. I haven’t looked into this game deeply and I won’t because the raw numbers have the edge and we’re fading the public’s unresearched angle.
*The Sharks are 30-14 +13.8 units, +22.6% roi SU this season vs. plus .500 teams.