Top Play Winner Oakland Write-Up
|Oakland||10||7:05 PM ET||Oakland +100||2.00|
|LA Angels||9||(TOP PLAY)|
*System: Since 2004, underdogs in April facing a plus .400 teams off of a game where they didn’t win by more than 2 (or lost) and didn’t get shut out are 962-1078 (+168.27 units) SU.
(Oakland, Dodgers, Marlins, Rockies, Indians, Twins, Cubs)
I’ve filtered that system down a bit to a 537-447 (+230.86 units) SU variation which is yielding the (Oakland, Dodgers, Marlins, Rockies, Indians, Twins and Cubs).
From there, I am filtering out the Rockies automatically because of raw numbers edges going against them.
*Also filtering out a play on the Dodgers as Tim Lincecum is 21-11 (65.6%) SU in the first months of the game career.
In LA: (Top Play):
**The Athletics are 119-87 (57.8%, +32.42 units) SU under Bob Melvin when the bullpen is hot (averaging <1 BPRA L5).
**They’re also 80-55 (+32.11 units, +21% roi) SU under Melvin after four plus games on the road.