Bears +4 SU Win Completes 3-1 Week
Thoughts: Last week was a good week; hitting another Top Play on STL Rams -8 and Runner Up on ARI Cardinals -5.5 and then the Vikings won as well. The parlay was good because I am very glad I laid back on those three with the exception of Kansas City.
In the News:
*The Lions fire GM Martin Mayhew and president Tom Lewand.
*Thusday Night NFL is no longer showing on CBS this season….stupid NFL.
*The Colts are the first team since the merger in 1970 to have a 3-5 record and be in first place in their division through 8 weeks
*Ken Whisenhunt is 1-20 as #Titans coach when he has less than 8 months to prepare for a game. He was sacked this week…
*Colin Kaepernick is benched, Blaine Gabbert will start against the Falcons.
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NFL WEEK NINE SELECTIONS
All Active Systems: Member Discount
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FOUR SELECTIONS…
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NFL RAW NUMBERS
–Top Plays (1)
11/8/15 1:00PM Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins +3 LOST
1.5 units
–Runner Ups (1)
11/8/15 4:05PM New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants -2.5 WINNER!
1.25 units
–Rest of the herd (2)
11/8/15 1:00PM St. Louis Rams vs Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings PK WINNER!
1.00 unit
11/9/15 8:30PM Chicago Bears vs San Diego Chargers
Chicago Bears +4 WINNER!
1.00 unit
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*All Selections are supported by Raw Numbers greater than 1 TDs edge along with Systems and Trends
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MIAMI DOLPHINS: (Top Play)
There are quite a few reasons to like Miami to win SU here against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have a laundry list of injuries including QB Tyrod Taylor who will try to play with a knee injury. Miami looks fine on that front. They played on Thursday last so they get a mini bye week.
Ah, and let’s not forget Rex Ryan; the guy who based most of his career trying to beat the Patriots. He’s just 1-6-0 (-16.5 ppg) ATS 1-6 SU coming out of a bye week. 0-2 ATS and SU if they lost that game (they lost to Jacksonville in Wembly) allowing 26.0 ppg and putting up just 14.5 ppg. Ah the Ryan brothers. Rest assured my bias played no role in the selection here.
Just a 3 point loss for ole Rexy boy against the shitty Jags which can be more deflating than the crushing the Dolphins got last week against the Patriots in Foxborough. Any team is skrewed if they’re facing the Patriots on their home ground the loss didn’t surprise me. I’m not going to read into it that much, but there’s this:
*Teams that just played the Patriots in Foxborough and lost are 30-21-1 ATS as road dogs again the following week. 18-12-0 60% ATS since Brady / Belichick era. It makes total sense I think. For the Patriots, home games are a no-shit win but the public reacts to it. Over 60% of the bets are currently on the Bills. Huge value here. This is a big game for Dan Campbell to interview for a long term position as the head coach of the Dolphins. So there is that angle as well.
The Bills play the Jets again in four days. They won’t be focused here. Very simple trend here:
*Home favorites playing on Sunday with 4 or fewer days rest between now and their next game choke ATS: 65-88-2 (42.2%) ATS.
*WE ALSO HAVE SIX TOTAL SYSTEMS ACTIVE TO PLAY ON THE PHINS AND NOTHING AGAINST.
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Raw Numbers are projecting a final score of:
MIAMI 27 BUFFALO 20 or 21
Runner up in Tampa Bay:
Thoughts: I personally like Tom Coughlin a lot. They really put on a show last week in New Orleans. On one hand, allowing points to Brees backed into a corner and rabid isn’t all that shameful. He is really good. On the other hand allowing 52 points is ridiculous. Tom Coughlin is a solid 85-52-1 ATS (62.0%) ats after a game where the defense allowed 14 or more points. He is good at fixing problems.
*Tom Coughlin is 84-63-1 57.1% ATS in conference games.
*Lovie Smith is 16-22 ATS at home off of a win.
Main Factors:
RN FINAL SCORE OF:
GIANTS 30 BUCCS 19 or 20
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3 Big Systems Active. Here is one:
A road team off of a road game in a conference matchup is 45-14-2 ATS after each team scored 24+ points. – 2-1 ATS since loaded up into the DB
Bottom line: The Giants would be a Top Play if it weren’t for the number of bets crawling all over them. The edge is there though and the emotional reason are all there as well.
Best of luck!
PCG
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