MLB Starter Wins Chart – Edge around 19

Although there is always the possibility that my observation is nothing more than regular variance, raw data suggests emotional factors coming into play for a pitcher going for, having, and having past 20 wins. Quite the achievement. The simple thought is this: players put the effort into getting to the milestone (+24 units at 19 wins and a 61.2% win rate). Once they have acheived the feat, they take a breather: -36.9 units at 20 wins and a 52.5% wins rate.

As for why a pitcher would struggle the worst at 18 wins…you are welcome to leave a comment. My assumption is two things: 1. Again this is all regular variance (probably the best assumption). 2. 15+ starter wins is already a feat in itself, and this typically correlates with expensive bets on clinched playoffs teams or teams with 99.9% probability for playoffs who usually stop playing as hard for streaks (and in general). 


To run a query for this on your own click here:

or type: "starter wins" as SDQL text….

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