MLB Starting Pitcher Betting Trends – Stephen Strasburg and Zack Greinke

*Washington National’s starter, Stephen Strasburg is 11-0-0 (+3.64 rpg, 100.0%, +11.00 units, +94% roi) OVER the total since halfway through April in his 3rd season in the Major Leagues after a start with one or zero earned runs. His team record was just 5-6 SU (+32.7% roi to fade); looks like he’s still finding his groove and the public is over valuing his ability to stay hot and restrict the opponent’s offense. He’ll start today on the road in San Francisco against the Giants and Matt Cain for +100 and with a game lined at 7.

*Over in Milwaukee, Zack Greinke starts on the road against his old team. He’s an ugly 15-30 (33.3%, -20.24 units, +33.4% roi to fade) SU since 2004 on the road against bad teams averaging less than a zero run per game margin. Since 2008, that is a nasty 10-24 (-1.71 rpg, 29.4%, +13.26 units to fade) on the runline. Oddly enough, the worse the opponent gets, the worse this record gets too: His runline record since 2009 is 4-16 (-2.4 rpg, 20%, +49.1% roi to fade) on the road against bad teams averaging less than -0.5 run per game margin. Tonight he’ll start for the Los Angeles Dodgers for -127 against the Milwaukee Brewers with the total lined at 8.5.