Predicting the NBA: Player Efficiency Rating

Please read this man’s word of wisdom.

“As any reader of this blog knows, I have an infatuation with John Hollinger and his Player Efficiency Rating (PER). Over the weekend, as I pondered how offense and defense balance in predicting NBA team regular season success (at a super awesome hip club of course) I decided to run some numbers and determine how well PER can predict team success. From my other readings I knew that Points Scored Per 100 Possessions minus Points Surrendered Per 100 Possessions was a really good indicator of record so we will use that to compare our results to (and later we will work exclusively with that)….”

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