Top Play Oklahoma State +5 Wins 49-29!
Nice hit on Clemson last week. Not a top play, but it was the highest rated bet. Hopefully we don’t get slaughtered this week on a large card…
NCAAF RAW NUMBERS – SYSTEMS
Week 10 Action:
–Top Plays (2)
11/7/15 1:00PM Stanford vs Colorado
1.5 units WINNER!
11/7/15 3:30PM TCU vs Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State +5
1.5 units WINNER!
*All Selections are supported by Raw Numbers greater than 1 TDs edge
(Systems and Trends as well on some)
Stanford -16 *Top Play:
Stanford’s David Shaw has coached the Cardinals well in all kinds of ways in the role of double digit favorite (but not really the lumber ie. -30, -40 etc). He’s 22-9 ATS after 2 or more straight wins with his team. MacIntyre, on the other hand is sub par in all games he has coach going 26-44 SU.
The Stanford Cardinals are on a 7-0 run now after correcting a 6-16 loss to Central Florida in game one. Once a train gets rolling it is impossible to stop. Momentum is everything in College Football:
A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road.
SU: 78-29-0 (9.83, 72.9%)
ATS: 70-35-2 (4.82, 66.7%) avg line: -5.0
That is 7-4 since inception!
A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points. – Fade Colorado. Massive system.
Oklahoma State +5 *Top Play:
Again, I’ll discuss the coaches in this one. I track the NCAAF coaches more than anything else in the sport. I know what they eat in the morning and when they brush their teeth.
Gary Patterson is just 3-14 ATS on the road after a game where they had no turnovers. He comes into the next one with false expectations. Mike Gundy, on the other hand, is 35-18 ATS off of 2+ straight wins with Oklahoma State. He’s also a big winner when the game is supposed to be a gun show: 40-20 ATS with the total over 62.
TCU has a ton of injuries and yet they’re 5 point road favorites to an 8-0 team…the public all over TCU in this one and smart money on Oklahoma State.
The main thing here though is that the Raw numbers have a massive projection and there is a unbelievable amount of systems active on this one 6 of them. Here are a few. Login at KS to see the others:
#1.) – A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game.
This one is 7-4 ATS since loaded into the database.
#2.) Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS
This one 5-2 now.