Top Play: Steelers +9.5 Wins SU
TOP PLAY: Final Score: 23-20
#359 Pittsburgh Steelers +9.5 (3 units) WINNER!
over the Baltimore Ravens
EMAILED WRITE-UP: “I can’t believe how high this line ended up being especially in this close division rivalry. I’ll make this one our top one of the week for 3 Units. We have a massive 7.0 point (1 TD) cover projected here for the Steelers who are coming off of one of the worst losses in NFL history: 5 fumbles lost / none recovered + 3 interceptions thrown….AND they lost to the Browns? Well I think that one was a long time coming. Still though; they were only a touchdown away. Anyways, enough speculation; here are some facts:
-The Steelers are 14-3-1 ATS seeking same season revenge since 2000. That’s a Perfect 9-0 ATS (7-2 SU) on the road.
*All NFL road teams (<14 pts) seeking same season revenge since 2000 are 42-15-1 ATS (73.7 %) off of a road loss.
-Since 2000, the Ravens have only made it a double digit game as a home favorite 3 times out of 9.
-The Vast majority of games between these two teams has always been +3 to -3 final margins of victory. This spread is ridiculous.
-I don’t expect greatness from the Steeler’s offense, but this week their defense should keep things interesting with Troy Polamalu returning after missing most of the season.
*Since 1993, the Steelers have been 42-23-4 (64.6% ATS) against teams over .750 ; that’s 10-4-1 ATS since 2009.”