F.A.Q. – WHAT MAKES A GOOD SYSTEM? –
This system fits the parameters we like to look for:
*Since 2008, +1.5 pt to favorite (line<2) road teams are 95-40-2 ATS (70.3%, +3.4 ppg) after 2 or more straight double digit home wins.
*Since 2008, +1.5 pt to favorite (line<2) road teams are 95-40-2 ATS (70.3%, +3.4 ppg) after 2 or more straight double digit home wins.
Here’s what those are:
*100-150 game sample size
*At least 5 seasons and no more than 1/5 losing seasons (this one has 6 out of 6 winning seasons).
*No more than 5 parameters. Less is more logical usually. In this one you have:
Site+Line+Streak+Type of Streak+Season = 5 parameters
That last point should be logical to everyone. Ask yourself what makes more sense:
A. The life expectancy of people who smoke is lower.
B. The life expectancy of people who don’t walk their dogs on Friday’s in the rain is higher.
Winning seasons should make sense too. We’d like our system to hold up both consistently and over a long period of time.
The 100-150 game sample size is both less logical and flexible (or at least relative to the time frame and sport).
Just trust me though, in the many years of doing this, I’ve found 100-150 to be the sweet spot.
I hope that helps; some subscribers were asking recently. Every day, I’ll give you guys a good system that you can bookmark and have alert you when a play comes up courtesy of Sportsdatabase.com