Record

using my tweaked expectation formula I am coming up with -160 odds for Tampa Bay at home vs. Boston. The actual vegas odds opened at -125 and overnighted to -130 or so. This is telling me that the lines guys see more merit in taking Boston today.

I’ll take Boston for +1.5 -170 (.5 units)
and the ML for +121 (.5 units)

As for LAA, I like this one; I am seeing an expected line of -125 for the Toronto Blue Jays. The overnight is now +118 and moving towards +120. My calculations are showing each team playing above their means so that sort of makes this an anything goes game. I see a lot of value in taking the Jays since they were previously swept and are dogs now;

Blue Jays +125 (1 unit)
Cleveland Indians -125 +1.5 (0 units)
(value in this case since Vegas gave CWS 50 cents and the market moved it back 10 cents towards CLE). NO PLAY as the White Sox were previously swept. Note to self

Total Record NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL: 98-58-4 60.7% (+163.96 units) +$32,780.00
MLB 2010 Season 73-52-4 56.2% (+77.87 units) +$15,575.00