3-1-1 in NCAAF and Nailed our Top Play in NFL (2-0 week)
Here was the emailed writeup from last week we posted up on offsite tracking 5 minutes before game time as well:
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400: CFB: No Illinois Lost
under 60 for 0.35 units
338: CFB: Kansas Push
under 69 for 0.35 units
390: CFB: Mississippi St Winner!
-8 for 0.45 units
368: CFB: UCLA Winner!
+4* for 0.45 units
333: CFB: South Carolina Winner!
+7 for 0.45 units
- NCAAFB System of the Week: xIn matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss.
Play on SCAR
- NCAAFB OU System of the Week:The OU is 70-159-3 30.6% when a team is off of a game where they rushed for more than 315 yards. In addition, they’re not playing a second or more straight game on the road + we’re talking about single digit favorite line or the team is a dog. Several other minor filters via the sportsdatabase url.
Play on the Unders in Kansas and N. Illinois
- BONUS SYSTEM: In database history, home dogs off of 2+ straight conference wins are ATS: 194-148-2 (2.73, 56.7%) against a team off of a home win. Also very good on the moneyline.
Play on UCLA
- BONUS SYSTEM: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points.
Fade ARK
- Raw Numbers for Week 6 Now Live!
Key CFB lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20, 31
Key CFB totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63
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NFL RAW NUMBERS
477 Cincinnati Bengals +4 TOP PLAY WINNER!
for 0.55 units
460 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9 Lost ATS
for 0.45 units
479 Las Vegas Raiders Pending…
for 0.35 units
452 Green Bay Packers -8 Lost
small play or pass or teaser leg
- NFL System of the Week: In the last 5 seasons (since 2018), Underdogs that were a good offense last season (>=23 ppg) have gone 230-176-11 (1.44, 56.7%). — Play on the Bengals
- BONUS SYSTEM: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like ‘dog’ or ‘win percent’ mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) — Play on the Buccs
- BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, road teams off off games where they put up 30 or more points and are now seeking revenge for a game where they only score 9 or fewer points are 78-45-1 ATS 63.4%.
Take the Raiders
- Small play or pass on the Packers or put them in a teaser.
- Raw Numbers for Week 5 Now Live!
Key NFL lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21
Key NFL totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52
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