4-0 Sweep On Week 1 NCAAFB Selections
Here was the emailed writeup from last week we posted up on offsite tracking 5 minutes before game time as well:
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166: CFB: Florida WINNER! 29-26
+3 for 0.30 units
224: CFB: Texas San Antonio WINNER! 35-37
+4½ for 0.30 units
227: CFB: Western Kentucky WINNER! 49-17
-12.5 for 0.30 units
196: CFB: Wyoming WINNER! 40-37
+7*
- NCAAFB System of the Week: In database history, fading road teams averaging a poor 7 or more point deficit at the half after a high scoring (60+ total pts) game yields a SU: 476-356-0 (2.94, 57.2%) and ATS: 463-346-14 (1.47, 57.2%) record for the home team. Profitable on both the moneyline and pointspread. Play on West Kentucky
- Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. Play on Wyoming Small play or pass on Wyoming. We don’t have very good raw number support but this is a good system.
- Fading a 3-10 pt. Road Favorite 2. It is early season (pre-week 6) 3. Team we are fading finished last season with 5+ straight wins This is 181-120-2 (60.1%) ATS
Play on Florida and UTSA
- Raw Numbers for Week 1 Posted
[email protected]
September 7, 2022 (1:43 am)
Hello. I’m brand new to the site. 4-0 last week is very impressive! Question: For the Western Kentucky play, the system is to fade the road team, correct? Western Kentucky was the road team in the matchup vs. Hawaii. So, they wouldn’t have been a team to bet on, correct?
Tom Herbert
October 10, 2022 (10:54 am)
Hey Dan, yes that is correct. The trend is written in terms of the team to play on for convenience,
but the sdql for that trend in its ‘pure’ form would be: H and tA(margin at the half) <= -7 and p:points + po:points >=60
…and all that is doing is just reversing the condition ‘signs’ to match up to the plain English translation.
So in this latter case, the team that shows up first is going to be the team you fade rather than the one you play on.
Tony D
September 17, 2022 (9:55 am)
This is great stuff. I really enjoy this website. I am very new to this sdql system but it takes the emotion out of it. Looking forward to learning more
Tom Herbert
October 10, 2022 (10:56 am)
Hey Tony,
Glad to hear! I have a discount for a full PCG membership running right now for just $40/ month — that includes a daily newsletter with official selections and more sdql systems, plus member user login access to the website’s “Raw NUmbers” which are a projection on every single game for 8 different sports year round.
Discount link: https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=43EP7LJAHNHC8