4/29/2022 Free NBA Selection and Sports Betting System Making Explained: Memphis Grizzles -1.5 Today!

NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game.

This System is now at 1044-822-41 55.9% ATS which is an extremely increased standard score (aka. Z-Score) (win rate weight proportionally by sample size), fundamentally based in sound logic, an off the charts statistical p-value (0.00000017) as well as a straight up higher win percent than the point of inception.

I love all of that; the only reason is I’m not going to call it one of my ‘very strongest systems’ is going to be due to, to many parameters / conditions and two conditions with sort of granular cut offs (“sub .320” and “plus .780”)

With that said, I have to point out that the trend is still incredibly strong if we just straight up, completely remove those conditions: we stellar get a record of 1162-943-46 ATS (55.2%). 

Nonetheless, we have a play today on MEMPHIS -1.5 over the Minnesota Timberwolves which I’ll take small….simply because I usually just avoid going heavy in the playoffs of any sport, and especially when my play is a favorite and / or the public backed side. This is never the set up for finding value in sports betting.